Assembly Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: Counting Underway in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir
As the counting of votes progresses for the 90 assembly seats in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir, the focus is on whether Congress can achieve an unexpected victory. Early trends indicate that the Peoples Democratic
As the counting of votes progresses for the 90 assembly seats in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir, the focus is on whether Congress can achieve an unexpected victory. Early trends indicate that the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), which was the largest party in J&K with 28 seats in the previous assembly elections, is currently leading in only three seats.
Current Mood in Haryana:
Predictions suggest a clear majority for Congress, and a defeat for the BJP would be a significant setback, especially as no party has managed to govern in Haryana for three consecutive terms. Within Congress, discussions are underway to identify a Chief Ministerial candidate if the party secures victory. Key figures vying for the position include Leader of the Opposition Bhupinder Singh Hooda, Dalit leader Kumari Selja, Randeep Singh Surjewala, and Hooda’s son, Deepender.
Situation in Jammu & Kashmir:
The National Conference (NC) and Congress have formed a coalition for the J&K Assembly elections, which could give them an advantage. For the PDP, led by Mehbooba Mufti, the stakes are high as the party’s influence may determine the success of the Congress-NC alliance if they fail to secure a majority. Additionally, the performance of smaller parties, such as Altaf Bukhari’s Jammu and Kashmir Apni Party (JKAP) and the People’s Conference, will also hinge on these results.
Stay updated with the latest news on election results in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir.
Live Updates
10:12 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Assembly Election in Numbers:
- Total Seats: 90 (17 reserved for Scheduled Castes)
- Total Voters: 2.05 crore (1.09 crore men, 95.83 lakh women, 467 transgender voters)
- Voter Turnout in 2019: 68.31%
- Total Candidates: 1,031
- Candidates with Criminal Cases: 133 (13% of total candidates)
- Crorepati Candidates: 538 (52%)
- Women Candidates: 100 (9.7%)
- Average Age of Candidates: 47.9 years
10:09 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Alliance Dynamics in Haryana:
The primary contest in Haryana is between the ruling BJP and Congress, but recent shifts have altered the alliance landscape. The BJP has ended its alliance with Dushyant Chautala’s Jannayak Janta Party (JJP), which has now partnered with Chandrashekhar Azad’s Aazad Samaj Party. Meanwhile, Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) had agreed to a seat-sharing arrangement for the Lok Sabha elections but failed to reach a consensus for the Assembly polls. The Indian National Lok Dal (INLD), led by O.P. Chautala, is contesting alongside the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).
10:04 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
BJP’s Struggles in the Valley:
The BJP has yet again failed to gain traction in the valley, trailing in the only seat it hoped to win—Gurez—where its candidate Faqeer Mohammad Khan is behind National Conference’s Nazir Ahmad Khan by over 1,500 votes after two rounds of counting. This outcome reflects widespread discontent in the valley following the abrogation of Jammu and Kashmir’s special status and the central government’s stringent policies.
09:57 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Gurez Election Update:
In Gurez, BJP candidate Faqeer Mohammad Khan trails by 1,558 votes against the National Conference. Counting has completed two of five rounds.
09:55 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Update:
The BJP is currently leading in 44 seats in Haryana, closely followed by Congress with 41 seats.
09:54 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
PDP’s Underwhelming Performance:
Leading in only three seats, the PDP has struggled in its traditional stronghold of south Kashmir, where it is ahead in just two out of eleven seats. The party’s poor performance can be attributed to a prevailing belief that it cannot return to power, prompting voters to support the Congress-NC alliance instead. Furthermore, the PDP’s previous alliance with the BJP in 2014 has significantly affected its reputation in the valley.
09:49 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
PDP’s Dismal Showing:
After nearly two hours of counting, the PDP—once the largest party with 28 seats—now leads in only three seats, marking its worst performance since its establishment in 1999.
09:46 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Election Update:
Olympic wrestler Vinesh Phogat is currently leading in the Julana assembly seat.
09:45 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
J&K Update:
In Chenani, former minister and J&K Panthers Party candidate Harsh Dev Singh is trailing by 3,800 votes against BJP candidate Balwant Mankotia. The trends indicate a competitive race between BJP and Congress across many constituencies in Jammu province, with independent candidates causing some of the BJP’s party candidates to trail.
09:42 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Prominent BJP Leaders in Jammu:
In Jammu province, all major BJP figures, including former ministers and ex-legislators, are leading in their constituencies, except for J&K president Ravinder Raina, who is trailing by 2,797 votes.
09:40 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
BJP’s Performance in Jammu:
BJP is leading in 18 out of 47 constituencies in Jammu province, with party vice president Yudvir Sethi expressing optimism about forming a government in J&K with the support of independent candidates. The party aims to surpass its previous performance in the 2014 elections, where it won 25 seats.
09:38 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Update:
BJP’s Arti Singh Rao is leading in the Ateli constituency.
09:35 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Congress Leading in Hodal:
In Hodal, where HPCC president Udai Bhan is contesting, Congress is leading after the first round of counting.
09:34 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Hooda Leads in Gargi Sampla Kiloi:
Former Haryana Chief Minister and Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda is leading from the Gargi Sampla Kiloi constituency.
09:32 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Iltija Mufti Trailing:
In a surprising turn of events, Iltija Mufti, daughter of former Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti, is trailing in the Srigufwara-Bijbehara seat.
09:30 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Congress Expands Lead in J&K:
As of 9:30 AM, Congress has increased its lead to 50 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, while BJP leads in 29 seats and PDP in 7. The total assembly comprises 90 seats.
09:29 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Mamman Khan Leading in Ferozepur Jhirka:
In Ferozepur Jhirka, Congress’s Mamman Khan, who is facing accusations in a riot case, is leading by 13,681 votes after the second round of counting.
09:27 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Nuh Election Update:
In Haryana’s Nuh, Deputy CLP leader Aftab Ahmed is leading after the first round, while cabinet minister Sanjay Singh is in third place.
09:19 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Key Districts in Jammu:
Political analysts believe that Hindu-dominated districts in Jammu will play a crucial role in determining the government’s formation. The BJP is contesting all 47 seats in Jammu province and hopes to secure the votes of the Pahari ethnic group, which received Scheduled Tribe status this year. Meanwhile, Congress and NC are banking on consolidating Gujjar votes who feel marginalized by BJP policies.
09:17 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
BJP’s Performance in Haryana:
Currently, BJP leads in only 30 seats in Haryana, indicating a potential setback in a state where it has held power for the past decade.
09:16 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Congress Surpasses Majority in Haryana and J&K:
As of 9 AM, Congress has crossed the majority mark in both Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir.
09:05 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Early Trends in Jammu:
Initial trends indicate that BJP leads in 19 seats, with Congress in 10 and independents in 6 as postal ballot counting begins.
08:58 AM (IST) – 8 Oct 2024
Key Factors to Watch in Jammu and Kashmir Results:
- NC-Congress Alliance: The National Conference and Congress have joined forces, representing the Opposition INDIA alliance. The NC contested 51 seats and Congress 32, with “friendly fights